A cyclonic storm “PABUK” lay centred at 0830 hours IST of 03^rd January 2019 over south China Sea near latitude 6.0°N and longitude 105.0° E, about 1500 km east-southeast of Port Blair. It is very likely to move west-northwestwards and emerge into Andaman Sea around the forenoon of 05^th January 2019. Thereafter it is very likely to move northwestwards and cross Andaman Islands around evening/ night of 06^th January. Thereafter, it is very likely to move north-northwestwards and then recurve northeastwards towards Myanmar coast and weaken further during 7^th-8^th January, 2019.

Warnings:

1. Heavy rainfall warning

• Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places likely to commence over Andaman Islands from 5^th January evening. Intensity is very likely to increase with rainfall at most places and heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places on 6^th and at isolated places on 7^th.

(ii) Wind warning

Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to commence over Andaman Sea along and off south Myanmar and Thailand coast from 4^th January evening. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 over Andaman Sea on 5^th and over Andaman Islands, Andaman Sea and adjoining areas of eastcentral and southeast Bay of Bengal on 6^th and 7^th.

(iii) Sea condition

The sea condition will be rough to very rough over Andaman Sea along and off south Myanmar and Thailand coast from 4^th January evening. It is very likely to become very rough to high over Andaman Sea on 5^th and over Andaman Sea and adjoining areas of eastcentral and southeast Bay of Bengal on 6^th and 7^th.

(iv) Fishermen Warning

The fishermen are advised not to venture into Andaman Sea during 4^th-7^th and into adjoining southeast and eastcentral Bay of Bengal during 6-7^th January.

The system is under continuous surveillance and concerned state governments are being informed regularly.

Kindly visit www.imd.gov.in and www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in for updates on the system.

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GK/nb